Stay up-to-date with the latest probabilities of FOMC rate moves as implied by Fed Funds futures prices
Fed funds futures are derivatives contracts that track the overnight fed funds interest rate.
Find information for 30 Day Federal Funds Overview provided by CME Group. View Overview
The prices of Option contracts on fed funds futures (traded on the Chicago Board of Trade) can be used to infer the market's expectations of future Fed policy changes. Based on CME Group 30...
4.50 - 4.75 : 95.6%, 4.75 - 5.00 : 4.4% ; Dec 18, 2024 · Jan 29, 2025 · Mar 12, 2025 · Apr 23, 2025 · Jun 04, 2025 · Jul 16, 2025
This paper relates predictable gains from positions in fed funds futures contracts to violations of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates. Although evidence for predic...
The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 5 percent. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical...
As the FOMC returns to more active management of its key target rate, we analyze Fed Funds futures as a predictor of Fed policy.
This paper explores the properties of daily changes in the prices for near-term fed funds futures contracts. The paper finds these contracts to be excellent predictors of the fed funds rate, and sh...
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